Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 15.143375 17.581484 20.228852 23.309584 26.788333 30.586932 35.040574
2025-09-07 11.257313 14.656076 18.711429 23.869891 30.216189 37.725454 47.235701
2025-09-14 8.964556 12.783398 17.689008 24.368049 33.127577 44.117276 58.823954
2025-09-21 7.118636 10.995333 16.304125 23.961917 34.554778 48.497404 68.003758
2025-09-28 5.707593 9.485989 14.968973 23.295767 35.364820 51.922190 75.981389
2025-10-05 5.227416 9.224395 15.303223 24.921803 39.385076 59.876118 90.531839
2025-10-12 4.761821 8.889827 15.448539 26.226043 42.982851 67.421388 104.946392
2025-10-19 4.174383 8.248736 15.011379 26.546432 45.076289 72.869088 116.623339
2025-10-26 3.656416 7.635323 14.523435 26.697266 46.863956 77.913779 127.939080
2025-11-02 3.142026 6.938498 13.794401 26.345998 47.776156 81.622881 137.387231
2025-11-09 2.683269 6.266498 13.014217 25.802233 48.285903 84.678494 145.932710
2025-11-16 2.286703 5.647465 12.244304 25.176731 48.570181 87.339355 153.939909
2025-11-23 1.864063 4.919344 11.215903 24.054050 48.047883 88.894730 160.703473
2025-11-30 1.665898 4.653637 11.070878 24.593250 50.560539 95.755715 176.723540
2025-12-07 1.490072 4.403557 10.920224 25.098120 53.043501 102.719365 193.323628
2025-12-14 1.266110 3.985198 10.346616 24.680410 53.744822 106.599567 204.871330
2025-12-21 1.059201 3.560047 9.687923 23.996800 53.850825 109.391503 214.647114
2025-12-28 1.027502 3.605224 10.114025 25.664873 58.706218 121.069744 240.686343
2026-01-04 0.976541 3.584605 10.379294 27.002579 62.989317 131.920985 265.765668
2026-01-11 0.876468 3.395106 10.203968 27.331154 65.224583 139.057781 284.458705
2026-01-18 0.780184 3.193337 9.966366 27.485838 67.098051 145.597723 302.359036
2026-01-25 0.674469 2.932400 9.532822 27.125600 67.834824 149.968053 316.414808
2026-02-01 0.575953 2.667248 9.043241 26.567917 68.084235 153.376012 328.796259